Gartner Group Predictions

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Mary Harrsch (mharrsch@oregon.uoregon.edu)
Thu, 29 Apr 1999 13:20:11 -0700


Date: Thu, 29 Apr 1999 13:20:11 -0700
From: Mary Harrsch <mharrsch@oregon.uoregon.edu>
Subject: Gartner Group Predictions

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Mary Harrsch originally submitted:

> In the April 19 issue of Infoworld, I read that the Gartner Group predicts
> the delivery of training will shift from 25 percent technology based and
75
> percent instructor-led to a 50-50 split by 2002.

Diane Saxon wrote:

Interesting Mary - was this based on US data or worldwide?

Since I can't review the complete report I'm not sure but all location
references in the Infoworld article are referring to U.S. sites.

After my posting I received an e-mail from a list member employed by the
U.S. Department of Defense and
he/she (they only had the initials of their first name listed as author)
wondered where Gartner was getting their numbers too:

"...based on our data, less than five percent of DoD E&T is
technology-based, and in industry the percentage is less," he/she observed.

I guess, like most predictions, it all depends on whose crystal ball you're
looking at!

Mary Harrsch
Network and Information Systems Manager
College of Education
102-K Education
University of Oregon
Eugene, OR 97403
(541) 346-3554
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~mharrsch/index.htm

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